The first question we must answer is whether they should be considered NHL-level players heading into next season. And here are their results from year to year. Here’s the list of most of the forwards that failed to achieve a 1.5 PPG scoring rate: Lawson Crouse, Jake DeBrusk, Nick Merkley, Jake Virtanen, Nick Ritchie, Brandon Perlini, Josh Ho-Sang, Kerby Rychel, Emile Poirier, Hunter Shinkaruk, Tom Wilson, Matt Puempel, Austin Watson, Zack Kassian, Jordan Caron, Carter Ashton, Justin Bailey, Kyle Beach and Tyler Ennis, Quinton Howden, Michael McLeod, Logan Brown, Jared McCann, John Quenneville, Julien Gauthier, Curtis Lazar, Sean Monahan, Frederik Gauthier, Jason Dickinson, Radek Faksa, Henrik Samuelsson, Mark McNeill, Phillip Danault, Zack Phillips, Joey Hishon, Brett Howden, Nazem Kadri, Scott Glennie, Peter Holland, Cody Hodgson, Rickard Rakell, Zach Boychuk, Greg Nemisz, Bo Horvat, Brendan Gaunce, Scott Laughton, Jordan Eberle, Phillipe Paradis and Conner Bleackley. *drumroll please* . Lesson learned here: if we base our projections solely on opinions, we’re bound to find several players that meet or exceed their given value. Here’s what the chart looks like when we narrow it down to the five closest comparables. NATIONALITY: Canada. The main finding here is that there seems to be a clear divide between the players that managed to score at least 1.5 points per game by their third year in the CHL compared to those that did not. Nick Suzuki is criminally underrated in this class of prospects for what he’s done this past season with the Owen Sound Attack. For the record, Max Domi was also in the mix, but he just missed the cut. Though I chose a fairly arbitrary cutoff line, you’d be hard-pressed to argue that Suzuki finds himself in the wrong group. But let’s turn our attention more specifically towards Suzuki (I will explore Poehling’s value in the near future). Height: 5’11”. Sean Allen peers into the future to break down the top 250 keepers for the next five years, including Connor McDavid, Auston Matthews, Carter Hart and more. The other two, Nick Suzuki and Ryan Poehling, are forwards that are right at the cusp of making an impact in the NHL. Nick Swisher is a very happy ... To say he's comparable to Jekyll and Hyde is an understatement. If you need examples, the general managers that drafted most of the players listed in the first group mentioned earlier in the article would be happy to provide them. He's skilled. Huberdeau didn’t follow a similar path, though he did end up producing at more or less the same rate as Suzuki in his final year. CBM Editor at Large and author John Page Williams is a licensed captain and Maryland fishing guide. The best flat-cap comparable here may be Brendan Gallagher’s six-year, $39-million extension in Montreal. Will be a very productive player" Projection: Premier No. NHL comparable: Derek Stepan. . These are truly exceptional seasons by any measure. ... Flores and Mesa will compete in spring training to join Curtis Granderson and Ichiro Suzuki … Very good puck skills and makes plays with and without puck that creates opportunities. Laughton and Danault ended up very close to Suzuki in their fourth year, but unlike Suzuki, it took them four years to get going. If we take a look at Poehling and Suzuki’s projected WAR versus their probability of making it to the NHL, we can see that they both stand out as players that have a very high probability of making the NHL next year, at 88.2 percent and 78.7 percent, respectively. Judging by their CHL production from year to year, the closest comparable Nick Suzuki is . Want to know more about Nick Suzuki fantasy statistics and analytics? Suzuki is a great passer — which has added great dynamic to team he’s skated with. Base Price: $26,995 / Read our 2020 Hyundai Santa Fe Review What we like: Good-looking cabin, lots of cargo space, an impressive warranty, and outstanding safety technology. Most of the players in the first group were drafted in the bottom half of the first round and their average draft position was 19th, whereas the vast majority of the players who made an impact were drafted in the top half, with an average draft position of ninth. Craig Button's Analysis "Can play centre or wing and with his smarts, can fit in with any type of player. Now let’s bring the players that only spent three years in the CHL back into the fold. Check out numberFire, your #1 source for projections and analytics. Accumulated Daily Cap Hit : $640,057. Those were the days of judging prospects mostly by word of mouth. He sees the ice well and can thread the puck like a needle to get it into the right spot, creating scoring chances. But given the amount of data we’re working with, it’s fair to assume that Suzuki is well above average when it comes to NHL prospects. I see Suzuki’s ceiling as a talented, dynamic two-way playmaker. Well, three if you count Cole Caufield and his ridiculous release, which will give NCAA goaltenders nightmares throughout the upcoming season. OK, I’ll admit it, it’s a mess. Historical data can provide us with a sense of his future value. Of all the Canadiens’ forwards, only Nick Cousins has a better 5v5 Expected Goals Against rate than Suzuki, but Suzuki provides superior offensive punch. His performance in the OHL playoffs last year seems like the outlier in that sense. Hell, there’s no guarantee Suzuki will make it to the NHL. On the next faceoff for Nate Thompson, he was accompanied by Nick Suzuki and Nick Cousins. Rod photore … It wasn’t the first time I was wrong, and it certainly wouldn’t be the last. See 2018 Lincoln MKX models for sale near you The rest of the body is very similar to that of the MKX’s. 22 , 421–429. Craig Button's Analysis "He's smart. Birthplace: London, Ontario. Couturier’s production was almost identical, as was Meier’s. There are even better odds he will be quickly forgotten. Again not saying Suzuki couldn't be both at some point, but there's always a risk that you're taking a nick zherdev. Now that we’ve established that Suzuki is deemed to be ready for the NHL at some point this season, what can we expect from him afterward from a production standpoint? Corey Perry and Nick Suzuki scored for Montreal (9-5-3). [Montreal Gazette] Suzuki could be comparable to … Weight: 185 lbs. Newly crowned OHL champion and playoff MVP Nick Suzuki did it all en route to guiding the Guelph Storm to a Memorial Cup appearance. (WAR prospect chart via Sean Tierney, Statistics via HockeyDB ), (Photo: Vincent Ethier/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images). Position: Center. As we’re given more access to brand new statistical prospect analysis tools and more relevant historical data, we’re starting to get a better idea of the odds behind every player’s NHL potential. The Vegas GM saved face in September 2018 by bundling Tatar, promising center Nick Suzuki and a draft pick to the Montreal Canadiens for winger Max … Name: Nicholas (Nick) SuzukiPosition: CenterDate of birth: August 10, 1999Birthplace: London, OntarioHeight: 5’11”Weight: 185 lbsNHL comparable: Derek Stepan, ISS Hockey: 17McKeen’s Hockey: 28Future Considerations: 19NHL CSS: 10 (North American skaters). Do you want him in there everyday, even against lefties? Ah, youth. And here are most of the forwards that hit the 1.5 PPG mark by their third year in the CHL: Mitch Marner, Timo Meier, Travis Konecny, Anthony Beauvillier, Anthony Mantha, Jonathan Drouin, Pierre-Luc Dubois, Sam Steel, Connor McDavid, Ryan Strome, Mathew Barzal, Leon Draisaitl, Sam Bennett, Robby Fabbri, Dylan Strome, Max Domi, Alex Galchenyuk, Mikhail Grigorenko, Mark Scheifele, Sean Couturier, John Tavares, Brayden Schenn, Taylor Hall, Emerson Etem, Jonathan Huberdeau and Nick Suzuki. Gene Ther. . Overview: A handsome, safe, and sophisticated 5-passenger SUV with a really good feel and … Suzuki, M. et al. Oh, and that purple bar at the top of the chart? There’s no guarantee Suzuki will ever match Kadri’s eminently respectable production in the NHL. Subscribe to The Athletic for ad-free, in-depth coverage of your favorite players, teams, leagues and clubs. The comparable is Barkov. Then we can eliminate the players who don’t align with Suzuki’s points-per-game pace. But aside from him? His game includes a bit of ‘sandpaper’ as he’s not afraid to get physical and lay the body on an opponent. So the sharp drop off in the first round of the draft everybody refers to each year expresses itself even before those prospects have reached the pros. Overall projections for Canadiens prospects seem to line up quite accurately. In order to do that, we turn to Sean Tierney and Emmanuel Perry’s prospect projection tools. Sure Springer would have been nice. While there’s a lot to be hopeful about in Suzuki’s case, there’s still a lot of room for growth. Already have the app? He’ll likely grow another inch or two, and put on 10-15 pounds of muscle with access to an NHL team’s training and nutrition guidance. . One of the largest and most noticeable differences between the Nautilus and the MKX is exterior styling. Poehling has higher odds of making it, though Suzuki is projected to make a bigger impact once he does reach the NHL. I was once convinced Alexander Avtsin had all the necessary tools to make an impact in the NHL. Retinitis pigmentosa comprises a group of inherited retinal photoreceptor degenerations that lead to progressive loss of vision. It’s also worth noting the two groups also share fairly distinctive average draft positions. The Canadiens have two prospects in particular that have driven the conversation this summer. Owen Sound utilizes him in all situations, which is a huge plus as it speaks to how reliable of a player he can be — even at a very young age. A lot of hype over a second line center. I see him going in the picks 12-20 range, which could open up the option of trading down. There should be some concern in regards to his production plateauing after his third year in the CHL. To get an idea of his potential, I examined the points-per-game data from all the first-round picks who spent at least three years in the CHL between 2008 and 2016. [Thomas Drance] One of my hottest takes going into this season is as follows: 10 years from now we'll talk about Nick Suzuki the way we talk about Patrice Bergeron. There’s a good mix of talented players, though there certainly are some underwhelming players, notably Hodgson and Laughton. I think you’re looking at a real sleeper pick in Nick Suzuki. But for the most part, if your prospect isn’t producing at a 1.5 points-per-game rate by his third year in the CHL, there are decent odds he will not end up playing in your top six for a sustained period of time at any point in his career. He makes players around him better. Judging by their CHL production from year to year, the closest comparable Nick Suzuki is . On the flip side of things, Suzuki will need to work on his skating. … Wins Above Replacement value, or WAR, is a statistic that has its origins in baseball but has since been modified to project a hockey player’s value. It’s Connor McDavid, standing out as ever. Try a week on us. So we’ve established Suzuki is in the right group, but there’s way too much data involved to get a good idea of the best comparable scoring rates in the CHL. In other words, a guy that gets 30-40 point a year, all of them stemming from his world class ability, and doing nothing to help the team in between. Date of birth: August 10, 1999. It’s not a career projection and it doesn’t take NHL rosters into account, but rather, it’s an indication based purely on the statistical value of both players that they are indeed ready to take the next step. Merkley, Nick: 93.8%: ARI: Sep 3, 2015: 18: 3: 2015-20: Entry-Level: ELC: RFA: C: Right--1.30%: $925,000: $1,137,500: Cirelli, Anthony: 93.8%: TBL: May 19, 2016: 19: 3: 2016-20: Entry-Level: ELC: RFA: … Nazem Kadri, a back-to-back 30-goal scorer who has put up 387 points in 561 games. Tough call here. To get more information about WAR, here’s the first of a three-part series explaining the metric. Detroit Red Wings Schedule, Roster, News, and Rumors | Winging It In Motown, 2017 NHL Draft Profile: Nick Suzuki is a dynamic talent no one is talking about, Red Wings sign prized prospect Lucas Raymond to three-year entry level contract, Griffins’ Heroics Cap Off Crazy Third Period, Morning Skate: Red Wings vs Blackhawks - Preview, How to Watch, NHL Draft 2017: What the Hockey World is Saying About the Detroit Red Wings Picks, Seattle Expansion Draft Series: Article 7 - Detroit Part 2. That’s not to say we should discount scouting – it’s still and will continue to be a vital aspect to the process – but as it is in all businesses, making decisions with as much information as possible in hand is the best way to go. A different look at Nick Suzuki’s potential and NHL readiness. Back-To-Back 30-goal scorer who has put up 387 points in 561 games scoring chances puck skills and makes plays and... 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